The NBA Finals is the pinnacle of basketball excellence, where the best teams in the league battle for the coveted championship title. Alongside the quest for team glory, an individual honor that stands out is the NBA Finals Most Valuable Player (MVP) award. In this article, we will explore the top contenders for the 2023 NBA Finals MVP and analyze their odds of securing this prestigious accolade.

Overview of the NBA Finals MVP Award

The NBA Finals MVP award is presented to the player who demonstrates exceptional performance and contributes significantly to their team’s success throughout the NBA Finals series. It is an honor that reflects both individual brilliance and team contribution, as the recipient must display exceptional skills, leadership, and consistency over the course of the series.

Factors Affecting MVP Odds

Several factors influence the odds of winning the NBA Finals MVP. Let’s take a closer look at some of the key elements that often come into play:

a) Individual Performance: Outstanding statistics, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks, significantly contribute to a player’s MVP chances.

b) Team Success: The likelihood of an MVP award increases for players whose team performs well in the series. Leading their team to victory and playing a vital role in crucial moments enhance a player’s MVP odds.

c) Narrative and Impact: The storyline surrounding a player’s performance can influence MVP voting. Extraordinary feats, clutch performances, and memorable moments can capture the attention and admiration of both fans and media, potentially swaying MVP considerations.

d) Previous Performances: A player’s past Finals performances and overall reputation can influence the voting process, as consistent excellence over multiple seasons often garners increased attention from voters.

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Top Contenders for the 2023 NBA Finals MVP

Now, let’s delve into the top contenders for the 2023 NBA Finals MVP award, considering their individual skills, team dynamics, and previous performances:

Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic, the star player for the Denver Nuggets, has been the NBA regular season MVP for the past two seasons. However, this season he was beaten to the award by Joel Embiid from the Philadelphia 76ers.

Jokic is widely regarded as the best player on the Nuggets and is capable of achieving a triple-double in any game. Although he narrowly missed averaging a triple-double this season with 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 9.8 assists per game, he ranked second in rebounds and third in assists in the NBA. Jokic’s exceptional passing ability, especially for a big man, allows him to find open teammates when he draws double teams using his height and ball-handling skills.

During the 2023 postseason, Jokic has been causing problems for opponents due to his versatile skills. He has already achieved eight triple-doubles, breaking a record previously held by Wilt Chamberlain. In the playoffs, Jokic has been averaging a triple-double with 29.9 points, 13.3 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game, shooting an impressive 47.4% from 3-point range.

In the conference semifinals against the Phoenix Suns, Jokic had outstanding performances, averaging 34.5 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game. He even scored 53 points in Game 4, although it resulted in a loss for the Nuggets.

Considering his exceptional postseason performance, Jokic is the favorite to win the MVP award with -360 odds. The Nuggets’ chances of winning the championship largely depend on Jokic’s fantastic playoff performances.

Jimmy Butler

Another strong candidate for the NBA Finals MVP is Jimmy Butler from the Miami Heat, who offers good value with +330 odds. The general belief is that the best player from the winning team in the finals is likely to win the award. Betting on the best player from the underdog team often provides good value, and in this case, that player is Jimmy Butler from the Heat.

The Heat heavily rely on Butler, and if he delivers remarkable performances with outstanding stats in the NBA Finals, the Heat have a chance to upset and win the championship as the #8 seed. However, Butler’s health is crucial, as he has already dealt with an ankle injury during the postseason. Last season, the Heat’s impressive playoff run was hindered by a knee injury to Butler, and they narrowly missed reaching the NBA Finals.

Butler has been leading the Heat with an average of 28.5 points, 7.0 rebounds, 5.7 assists, and 2.1 steals per game in the postseason. He showcased his exceptional abilities in the opening round against the top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks, where he averaged 37.6 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game, shooting 44.4% from 3-point range. Butler’s performance included a franchise-high 56 points in Game 4 and 42 points in Game 5 to secure the series win.

Currently, Butler has +330 odds to win the NBA Finals MVP. If the Heat can manage to win one of the first two games in Denver, Butler’s odds are likely to decrease.

Jamal Murray

For those looking for a hot player with great value, Jamal Murray is an intriguing choice with +1400 odds. If you want to consider an NBA Finals MVP candidate from the Nuggets who isn’t Jokic, Murray fits the bill.

Murray is known for being a streaky shooter, capable of catching fire and making shots from anywhere on the court. While Jokic and Murray are the Nuggets’ offensive duo, Murray’s impact becomes even more significant when he gets hot.

Murray missed the previous two postseasons due to an ACL injury but regained his form in the second half of the 2022-23 season. This postseason, he has been averaging 27.7 points, 6.1 assists, and 5.5 rebounds per game. He has a 39.8% shooting accuracy from 3-point range and an impressive 92.5% from the free-throw line.

Murray has had several games in the playoffs where he scored 34 or more points, including a 40-point performance with six 3-pointers against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 2 of the first round. In the Western Conference finals against the Lakers, he recorded back-to-back 37-point games and achieved a remarkable 50/40/90 shooting percentage, shooting 52.7% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 95% from the free-throw line.

Caleb Martin

Finally, Caleb Martin from the Miami Heat is a long shot with +4000 odds to win the NBA Finals MVP. He has been performing exceptionally well during the postseason, exceeding expectations.

Martin’s journey is a feel-good story, as he was cut by the Charlotte Hornets two seasons ago and almost left the league before getting a second chance with the Heat. He holds the record for the highest scoring average in a conference finals by an undrafted player in the modern NBA. Despite being considered a “tweener” without a specific position, Martin has stepped up as the Heat’s second-most reliable scorer behind Butler this postseason.

In the conference finals against the Boston Celtics, Martin averaged 19.3 points and 6.4 rebounds per game, shooting an impressive 48.9% from 3-point range. He had a career-high 26 points in Game 7, helping the Heat secure their spot in the NBA Finals.

Although Martin’s chances of winning the NBA Finals MVP are slim with +4000 odds, his exceptional performances have made him a crucial player for the Heat in their playoff run.


The race for the 2023 NBA Finals MVP promises to be highly competitive and captivating. With several exceptional players vying for the honor, their performances and impact on their respective teams will shape the outcome. While this analysis provides an overview of the top contenders and their odds, the ultimate outcome remains uncertain until the final buzzer sounds. Basketball fans worldwide eagerly await the NBA Finals, where the journey to greatness reaches its climax, and a deserving player will emerge as the 2023 NBA Finals MVP.